Economy rebounds; Infra and Finance lead

Nifty closed at 8027.70 adding 73.35 points that expanding at 0.92 percent marking lifetime high after recording intra-day highest at 8035. Sensex accumulated 26,867.55 points growing at 0.86 percent after making fresh high in the day at 26900 points.

Research Director at CapitalVia Global Research Limited, Vivek Gupta commented on the market changes on September 1, 2014:

“Finally Nifty has crossed the level of 8000 today for which the markets were waiting for since long.

It’s always best to go with the trend in the markets because if something you have to believe on or you got to stay with is the current trend of the market.  If everyone thought that the market just had an election rally and it would not sustain and those who are still skeptical on current rise of the markets may have to change their way of thinking before it’s too late. During a bull market, even any big bad news doesn’t have any major impact on the markets.

Investors those holding positions in market should hold their positions. In monthly charts Spot Nifty had a breakout from an ascending triangle when it crossed the levels of 6357.10 which as per technical rules have minimum targets of 8180 and the rise can continue. Investors should try to take maximum from these bull markets and trail their positions. Capital Good stocks like Bhel and steel sector big giant SAIL still may have lot to offer to investors. Investors should keep investing and better be stock specific in their selections and focus on stocks and sectors which have not caught up to the rally till now.

Any correction right now should not be anticipated as end of the market rally, rather it should be anticipated as an opportunity to invest.”

As stock market indices marked new life time highs again especially Nifty which crossed 8000 level, economists updated Indian economy's growth from 5 percent to 6 percent in the financial year 2014-15. According to various analysts prediction of GDP of India in the current year is hovering around 5.5 percent.

Indian markets are booming which is generally considered the best time to invest before the markets fall into depression, recession and awaiting boost. 

The country is growing in almost all the sectors despite challenges like lower rains which implied rise in price of food. 

As a revival in the economy is trending up, researchers analyzed the targeted segments and best possible deals to retain maximum profits from the share market trading.

Infrastructure, finance, gas and oil stocks are among the top green chips for investors.

Stocks of infrastructure companies are ready to ride the bulls as FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) in defense stocks rose to 49 percent from 26 percent promoting high growth in the sector.

Railways are running fast as automatic route allows rails to raise 100 percent investments through FDI which is a positive cue for India where demand for new rail lines is growing everyday.

Infrastructure growth made a nine month highest record in June growing at 7.3 percent over 2.3 percent in May.

Though infra stocks are surging investors must consider the company carefully they are investing in since, many companies are drowning the sea of debt.

Financial stocks grow in direct proportion to economic growth therefore, an economic robust growth means widening shares and great opportunities for investors to buy shares for future profits. Housing finance especially goes up during an economic revival as the demand for loans rises. 

Since international price of crude is falling, public sector units which are importing oil and gas for meeting the demand of the country are surging on controlled growth. 

Some of the major factors affecting the market of good stock companies like BPCL include deregulation of prices of diesel and stability in Indian currency, i.e. INR.

Indian is entering the growing phase, it is the perfect time to invest and gain from the best stock picks.


Import tariffs cut down on Gold and Silver

Precious metal trading in India is likely to gain momentum as the Government of India (GOI) trimmed down hiked import tariff charged on Gold to $420 for 10 grams and $645 for a kilogram of Silver allowing changes as prices in the world markets changed in commodity trading.

In the first half of August 2014, import charges on the yellow metal stood at the level of $426 per 10 grams whereas for silver import tariff recorded is $650 per kg.

Import Tariff value is the base level price on the basis of which further custom duty charges determine the value of trade. The basic aim of determination and charging procedure is to avoid under-billing a commodity and balancing the domestic value of trades. The value of import tariff varies every 15 days dynamically as global prices fluctuate the markets.

Central Board of Excise and Customs released an internal notification of new import tariff according to an official who identified with the new pricing level.

Singapore Gold which generally determines Indian prices in the domestic trades of the commodity, expanded an inch higher trading up at $1,290.22 per ounce from its previous closing at $1,289.65 on Thursday. Silver which is the next popularly traded commodity in India rose over 0.3 percent in Singapore trading at $19.57 per ounce.

Following Singapore prices, the commodity traded at a higher level in India raising its value for the second day in a row. Price of yellow metal climbed over Rs 70 trading at Rs 28,300 per 10 grams in Delhi on the last trading day of the week as jewelers and retailers pinpointed the rising trend of gold and said, "It is the right time to buy looking at the quick arriving festive seasons when gold's demand will rise and inflate prices."

Prices of Silver in domestic trades grew at the rate of Rs 150 accumulating trade price at Rs 43,000 per kg with a small demand of commodity from industrial segments and coin makers. Silver coin makers are booking in Silver as it is popularly bought as a part of traditions in India during Diwali festival.

After crude oil, Gold is the most important import in India which accounts for maximum imports in creating trade deficit in the country. GOI is working hard to reduce import valuation to balance out its current account deficit (CAD).

In the latest news, Commerce and Industry Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman said, "It is important for us to consider a little cut down in the import duty of gold else we are ruling out on profits of jeweler designers and gems industry."

"It is true that hiked gold imports helps our country's balance sheet look better as gold is coming in unrecorded but overall, smuggling of the commodity is not the solution," Sitharaman added.

GOI hiked import duty charges on gold to the highest record at 10 percent and restricted importers to export at least 20 percent of the imported commodity to balance trade deficit in the country.


Buyers of Gold - Consider waiting!

Gold jewels play an important role during festive season in India, and buying gold is regular habit prevailing in the country as the prices of precious metals is in a locked in period for a few months before the festivals arrive at.

In the events of 2014, the market scenario expected this year is unconventional as gold is trading below Rs. 28,000 per 10 grams in refraction to global trading at $ 1,280 per ounce.

Despite the prevalent rates, a commodity analyst said, "Gold is correcting its price in the market with consolidation to the global prospects. Opportunities for buying gold at a lower price are still to come."

Though there is no fixed price for gold trading, researchers pinpoint it at between the trending level of $1,180 and $1,200 per ounce which is the production cost now.

One of the factors which will play an important role in balancing gold prices is strengthening of interest rates in US. Though, gold price is falling in the market, analyst are expecting "hardening in US fed interest rates" which will add more pressure on price of yellow metal to decline in trade.

In simple terms, one can understand it through economical law of demand which shifts from lesser attractive investment to higher one because of its higher value or revenue. In market concern, when secured financial asset that is US bank accounts and bonds will return higher on investments after which investors will switch from safer havens of gold to financial tools. Hence, price of gold is likely to fall on increasing interest rates in US.

In global markets, crude oil is trading higher than its prior levels injected since tensions evoked in the middle east. In the last month, price of Brent crude dropped down from $111 per barrel to $100.89 per barrel. Whenever oil prices drop it is popular trend that price of gold will slip as there is an indication of deflation in the market overview. 

Gold is struggling in the weakening market now where we are expecting a correction in the price. A Mumbai based asset management company's founder said, "If anyone is planning to purchase gold in a month or two, it is better to wait for some time.” However, there is a blinking warning that it is important to wait but be careful it is not too long, i.e. until the last day when the demand starts rising.

In case of gold jewelry purchase consumers should hold them as long-term securities because small changes in the price of metal are unable to pay off the making charges which amount to 15 to 20 percent of total price.



Decorative Paint stock on the Bulls

Paint manufacturing shares are posting in growing revenues which is citing commencement of bull run in the sectoral industry following the hiking stocks of paint companies' on BSE. Stocks of top paint manufacturers including Asian Paints, Kansai Nerolac, and Berger Paints are performing over the highest expectations of market analyst starting last month and will probably continue the trend in the coming time.


Kansai Nerolac premiered first in the market as the shares of the decorative paint industry set a new life time high in July. Asian Paints and Berger Paints followed the league as their stocks marked fresh heights on the stock exchanges as early investors chipped in to buy equities for medium to long-term gains. 

Painting industries growth is standing on pillars of strong demand and recovery in sectoral growth. The companies backed up with high demand destined to grow as their key pillar, demand of paints is generally higher during the festive season, on the way to Indian markets.

The industry advocates a profitable investment as falling of crude oil prices is another profit jumping news. Crude oil produces titanium oxide which is a key ingredient in production cycle of plastic paints. 

In the first quarter of FY 2014-15, the three major companies in painting producing sector reported higher revenues pushed up by growth in volumes of sales. Industrial recovery followed country's economic growth where companies worked up to regain exploding market share.

Kansai Nerolac headed the industrial sector as it captured 45 percent of total revenues. Berger paints and Asian paints shared 20 percent each of the total profits flourished in the segment. Nerolac is leading Indian markets and standing among the top three positions in the world decorative and painting industry.

Berger is walking on the strategic motive to capture premium paying audience by creating higher brand equity value in the market over the previous year. The company bought out the market share under influence of small dealers unable to touch Asian Paints brand loyalty customers. 

Asian paints is gaining on its strong position in the market which is consistently paying off its bills. The company nurtures on its key strength of strong pricing power due to consumer loyalty and trust.

It's expansion plan in the vertical of providing home accessories like modular kitchens and faucets did not produce estimated results according to some opposing analyst lower than optimistic analyst who are supporting the group. 

Overall, the company is making a small investment compared to its large variant of working capital of 3.5 percent. Therefore, the company is still joyous on its return from painting vertical. 

Economists are looking at the sector with blue eyes hoping to see further growth in the market of decorative paint companies who are launching new products. Key strength backing up the market growth enlisted is availability of premium products, regular demand of product and consumers high purchasing power.

Asian Paints is trading over 32 times FY-16 predicted profits, Berger Paints over at 27 times, and Kansai Nerolac up at 24 times, against their previous averages at 30 times, 20 times and 25 times, respectively. All paint companies are gaining after they prospects of growth improved in the market.


Unstable power stocks pull down market indices

Power sector stock dragged down Nifty and Sensex by 0.5 percent each though metal stocks pillared the pressure and kept Nifty 2 points above 7900-level and Sensex at 26,442.81.

Major power generating companies shares like Tata Power, Reliance Power and Adani Power lost out in the trade on Tuesday. Tata Power shed 3 percent, Reliance Power lost 4 percent and Adani topped the losing rate with 6 percent downfall.

The losing struck Adani and Tata after Supreme Court launched a stay order to stop compensatory tariff benefits to the companies under Appellate Tribunal's argument.

Two of the power majors gained approval from Central Electricity Regulatory Commission to gain favorable tariff charges in their Gujarat plant set up in Mundra Power Plant in February end.

Government of India (GOI) signed an approval allowing the companies to extend the charges of power supply over the existing rates set by State power distribution utilities. The additional charges over the normal rate of power supply meant to compensate the companies as profits are now on hold.

Companies are paying for high costing coal, imported to India to produce power. Tata and Adani requested GOI for collecting compensation over the prices to repay their expenses. Appellate Tribunal received a challenging report from the state distribution authorities which opposed the action.

Supreme Court decided to put a hold on the order and asked Appellate Tribunal’s court to take a decision at the earliest possible remark.

The unattributed stoppage in the hike of prices brought down the cited growth in companies' profit and earnings per share. 

Tata Powers biggest project Mundra ultra-mega power plant having an installed capacity of 4,000 MW accounts for more than half of its total power producing capacity is affecting its entire power sector vertical. The plant commissioned in FY 2012-13 is struggling to keep up as the cost of imports of coal, its major source from Indonesia rose invariably after the country changed export laws in 2011.

Before supreme court's declaration imposing a stop on its previous dealing allowing power companies to collect compensatory amount, Tata Power planned to collect Rs 690 crore for recovering losses in Mundra plant in the previous fiscal. Company did not account for the amount in the planning until they received the final put orders. Therefore, Tata Mundra project recorded accumulated net loss of Rs 260 crore in the year ending 31 March 2013. 

In Adani Power, Mundra plant is holding 4,620 MW capacity, which faced similar problems of recovering over primary costs. The company recorded aggregate loss of Rs 291 crore in the same time period. In case of Adani, the company recorded the loss after considering the compensatory amount offered of Rs 1,013 crore including an accumulated amount of Rs 830 crore for losses recorded at the end of last fiscal.

If supreme court decides to cancel the move then Adani will have to move down its profits, i.e. report a higher net loss further losing market shares.