Indian households now owe almost half of GDP.
Household financial liabilities hit ₹158.5 lakh crore in March 2026 — 45.9% of GDP, up from 36.4% in 2022. The ratio hasn't fallen in a single quarter since.
India imported $2.30 billion of gold in August 2026, down from $5.44 billion a year earlier. Import duty went back up to 15% in May, and each gram now costs about a third more in rupees. The usual stock-up before the festive season has not shown up yet.
That is $3.14 billion less gold than in August 2025. Silver went the other way: $1.03 billion, up 127%, though it is still down 8.8% for April–August.
In July 2019 the Budget raised gold duty from 10% to 12.5%, and imports that August fell to $1.36 bn. In July 2024 the Budget cut it from 15% to 6%, and August imports jumped to a record $12.55 bn. The rate went back to 15% on 13 May 2026. Prices, the rupee and the festival calendar all move these numbers too, but the extremes line up with duty changes.
Year-on-year growth shrank every month after the hike and turned sharply negative in August. Thanks to April's rush, April–August imports are still 3.4% higher in dollars ($17.47 bn) and 13.7% higher in rupees.
In July 2026 India imported almost exactly the same weight of refined gold bars as in July 2025 (20.3 tonnes vs 20.2 tonnes). It paid 36% more in rupees for them. A weaker rupee adds to the rise in the dollar price of gold, before any duty or GST is charged.
Plan gold for Dhanteras or a wedding in rupees, not grams. At the import stage a gram costs about a third more than last year, and duty is now 15% instead of 6%. The same budget buys noticeably less gold.
The goods trade deficit narrowed only slightly, from $27.22 bn to $26.86 bn. If gold imports had stayed at last August's level, it would have been about $30.0 bn. Without gold's fall, the gap would have widened.
The release implies about ₹95.5 per dollar in August, against ₹87.5 a year ago. That is a 9% rise in the rupee cost of every imported input, whether it is gold, chips or software, before prices move at all.
Household financial liabilities hit ₹158.5 lakh crore in March 2026 — 45.9% of GDP, up from 36.4% in 2022. The ratio hasn't fallen in a single quarter since.
India's retail inflation was 4.82% in August 2026. Almost no household actually paid that. It is the midpoint of twelve very different numbers.
EPFO's mandatory PF ceiling rose from ₹15,000 to ₹25,000 on 17 Sep 2026, the first change since 2014. About 51 lakh more employees are pulled in.