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CapitalVia
Data story · 26 Oct 2026

India's balance of payments · August 2026

NRIs put $83 billion into Indian banks in one month.

In August 2025 the same line read $1.0 billion. A special RBI dollar window turned a trickle into the single biggest inflow in India's August accounts — and it is money that has to be paid back.

Net NRI deposit inflow, August 2026
$83.0 bn
August 2025: $1.0 bn 83× a year earlier
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August's dollars, side by side

Net flows in India's balance of payments, August 2026, US$ billion

Money in
NRI deposits
83.0
Services surplus
16.5
Transfers (mostly remittances)
12.8
Foreign direct investment
3.3
Foreign portfolio investment
1.7
Money out
Goods trade deficit
−26.6
Commercial borrowings (net)
−22.4
Income paid abroad (net)
−8.0
Overall balance → added to reserves+45.4

Bars are drawn to one scale (NRI deposits = full width). Only the largest lines are shown, so they do not add up to the total. Source: RBI, preliminary data.

How big is $83 billion?

25×
net foreign direct investment in the same month ($3.3 bn)
3.1×
August's goods trade deficit ($26.6 bn)
1.8×
the rise in reserves from all August flows combined ($45.4 bn)

Five months, then and now

Net NRI deposits, April–August, US$ billion

5.6
Apr–Aug 2025
119.2
Apr–Aug 2026

About 21 times as much — with $83.0 bn of it arriving in August alone.

The window that pulled it in

On 8 June 2026 the RBI opened a special dollar–rupee swap for banks' fresh FCNR(B) deposits — foreign-currency term deposits held by NRIs. Banks could swap those dollars with the RBI. The deposit leg shut on 31 August.

8 Jun 2026
window opens
31 Aug 2026
deposits close
FCNR(B) deposits mobilised
$132.98 bn
Days the deposit window was open
85
Average per day
≈ $1.56 bn
Company foreign loans (ECBs), to 18 Sep
$5.30 bn
Banks' overseas borrowings, to 18 Sep
$5.32 bn

The ECB and bank-borrowing legs stay open until 31 December 2026.

Borrowed, not earned

These are deposits, not exports or investment. Each one had to have an original term of at least three years, so the earliest fall due around mid-2029. The RBI's swap covers only the principal: when a swap ends, the RBI hands the dollars back to the bank, which owes them to the depositor.

Why it matters to you

If you're salaried

The extra dollars arrived while conflict in West Asia kept oil prices volatile. Bigger reserves give the RBI more room to steady the rupee, and a steadier rupee helps keep fuel and imported goods from getting dearer.

If you're a founder

The ECB leg is still open: foreign borrowings with an average maturity of three years or more can be swapped with the RBI until 31 December 2026. Check eligibility with your bank.

If you run a business

Treat the cushion as temporary. Unless depositors roll them over, these deposits can start leaving as they mature from 2029.

Sources

  1. RBI, “Developments in India's Balance of Payments for the Month of August 2026”, press release 2026-2027/1335, 15 Oct 2026 — rbi.org.in/…prid=63813
  2. RBI, “Data on Forex inflows via FCNR(B) Deposits, ECBs and OFCBs under Reserve Bank's Swap facility”, press release 2026-2027/1160, 21 Sep 2026 — rbi.org.in/…prid=63638
  3. RBI, FAQs: Swap Facility for FCNR(B) deposits, ECBs and OFCBs (three-year minimum tenor; swap covers principal only) — rbi.org.in/…FAQs Id=3917

Notes & estimates

No figure on this page is an estimate. RBI marks August 2026 balance-of-payments data as preliminary, so it may be revised. The multiples (83×, 25×, 3.1×, 1.8×, about 21×) and the per-day average are CapitalVia calculations from RBI figures. “Mid-2029” follows from the three-year minimum term for deposits made from June 2026. The two RBI series measure different things: “NRI deposits (net)” in the BoP covers all NRI deposit schemes net of withdrawals, while $132.98 bn is the gross FCNR(B) amount mobilised under the swap window. “Commercial borrowings (net)” is the RBI's net ECB line, which turned negative mainly because of large amounts on the “by India” side. RBI notes that sub-components may not add up because of rounding: the August capital-account items add up to $50.5 bn against the stated $50.6 bn.

A data explainer for general education. Not investment, tax or legal advice.

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